Yeah, it’s hard. But take a look at the graph above that shows the margins in national presidential polls for the final year over the past three cycles. The spread between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is almost the same as the gap in both the 2008 and 2012 elections at this time!
In 2008, the margin improved after September. In 2012, it fell. But in both cases, the Democrat won.
Look closer. The line for 2016 has never gone below zero, whereas we did see that happen in both 2008 and 2012 (yes, there’s still time for this to happen). In fact, if forced to pick which line I’d rather be on, I’d pick 2016’s for sure.
That doesn’t mean Trump can’t win. He can, of course. But Clinton is still the favorite, and always has been.
But what about the primaries? They said Trump could never win! And he did! And what about Brexit? They said that wouldn’t happen either! The polls have been terrible this year, we just can’t trust them.
Voters attracted by the force of the Trump personality should pause and take note of the precise qualities he exudes as an audaciously different politician: bluster, savage mockery of those who challenge him, degrading comments about women, mendacity, crude generalizations about nations and religions. Our presidents are role models for generations of our children. Is this the example we want for them?
Voters attracted by the force of the Trump personality should pause and take note of the precise qualities he exudes as an audaciously different politician: bluster, savage mockery of those who challenge him, degrading comments about women, mendacity, crude generalizations about nations and religions. Our presidents are role models for generations of our children. Is this the example we want for them?
During an interview on MSNBC's Morning Joe, Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway admitted that Donald Trump doesn't care about the truth, and makes up his own facts.
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From the April 7 edition of MSNBC's All In with Chris Hayes:
TODD ALLBAUGH: I've been a Republican for a long time. It was at that moment, Chris, in that room in the senate Republican caucus when I heard people, a Party I had fought for for over 30 years of my life, actually giddy and happy and talking about how we can take people's Constitutional rights away, or at least impede them, in order to hang onto power.
[...]
Now, you have a group of people in the state legislature, particularly in the senate Republican caucus, who want to impede peoples' voting rights. That's the point where I said "I can't do it anymore." I can't be a Republican, I can't keep going to caucuses because this Party no longer represents me and what I believe in.
[...]
Republicans used to fight for voting rights, and here they were taking them away. So, yes, the point is, this was a poignant point in my life. I remember it clearly and certainly the point in that room that day was how do we do this quickly because there was a lot of recalls going on in Wisconsin at that time. How do we do it quickly so that we can make sure we hang onto power in the future.
On Friday, Ted Cruz officially endorsed Donald Trump and the news did not sit well with Glenn Beck, who had campaigned for Cruz during the Republican primaries on the grounds that he had been anointed by God to save America, and who has vowed never to support Trump.
Cruz appeared on Beck's radio show today to try and justify his decision and it did not go well for Cruz.
Beck grilled the Texas senator on what could have changed about Trump to convince him that he can now support the man he once called an utterly amoral pathological liar. Cruz defended himself almost entirely by citing Trump's latest promise to appoint conservatives to the Supreme Court, which Beck wasn't buying because Trump first made that promise months ago and yet Cruz still refused to endorse Trump when he spoke at the Republican National Convention in July.
"I'm asking you for new information," Beck said. "Why now?"
Upon returning from a commercial break, Beck unloaded on Cruz and his disingenuous justification for endorsing Trump, declaring that Cruz had said things during their interview that Beck personally knows to be untrue.
"For the very first time, I heard Ted Cruz calculate and when that happened, the whole thing fell apart for me," Beck said, declaring that he blames himself for thinking that Cruz was a man of principle instead of just another politician.
Eventually, Beck's fury got the better of him as he worked himself up into a bellowing frenzy.
"We have become PETA. Shame on all of us," Beck fumed over being repeatedly told by Cruz that this election represents a "binary choice" between Hillary Clinton and Trump, outraged that on every issue, the only thing that seems to matter now is that you agree with the people on your side. "Why not, if you won't vote for Hillary or you won't vote for Trump, why not just cover me in a bucket of blood?"
"Why not just shame me in the public square?" Beck thundered. "There is no difference between the two teams any more ... Which one is for the idea that all men are created equal? That all men have a right to pursue their own happiness and make their own goddamn decisions? Which one? Which one? I contend neither of them and so we will just soak each other in buckets of blood. We'll be a happy little bumper-sticker community that shames one another to make sure you walk in goosestep with all the other Hillary supporters or walk in goosestep with all the other Trump supporters."
Not limited to or by established, traditional,
orthodox, or authoritarian attitudes, views, or dogmas; free from bigotry.
Favoring proposals for reform, open to new
ideas for progress, and tolerant of the ideas and behavior of others;
broad-minded.
Of, relating to, or characteristic of
liberalism.
Liberal Of, designating, or
characteristic of a political party founded on or associated with principles
of social and political liberalism, especially in Great Britain, Canada, and
the United States.
